Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/7073
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dc.contributor.authorBulut, Hatice-
dc.contributor.authorGölgeli, Meltem-
dc.contributor.authorAtay, Fatihcan M.-
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-11T15:45:20Z-
dc.date.available2021-09-11T15:45:20Z-
dc.date.issued2021en_US
dc.identifier.issn0924-090X-
dc.identifier.issn1573-269X-
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06320-7-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/7073-
dc.description.abstractAlthough policy makers recommend or impose various standard measures, such as social distancing, movement restrictions, wearing face masks and washing hands, against the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, individuals follow these measures with varying degrees of meticulousness, as the perceptions regarding the impending danger and the efficacy of the measures are not uniform within a population. In this paper, a compartmental mathematical model is presented that takes into account the importance of personal cautiousness (as evidenced, for example, by personal hygiene habits and carefully following the rules) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Two countries, Turkey and Italy, are studied in detail, as they share certain social commonalities by their Mediterranean cultural codes. A mathematical analysis of the model is performed to find the equilibria and their local stability, focusing on the transmission parameters and investigating the sensitivity with respect to the parameters. Focusing on the (assumed) viral exposure rate, possible scenarios for the spread of COVID-19 are examined by varying the viral exposure of incautious people to the environment. The presented results emphasize and quantify the importance of personal cautiousness in the spread of the disease.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipScientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) within the scope of the 1001-Scientific and Technological Research ProjectTurkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Arastirma Kurumu (TUBITAK) [119F162]en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research is supported by The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) within the scope of the 1001-Scientific and Technological Research Project (119F162).en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.relation.ispartofNonlinear Dynamicsen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectCOVID-19en_US
dc.subjectEpidemic modelen_US
dc.subjectLocal stabilityen_US
dc.subjectPersonal cautiousnessen_US
dc.titleModelling Personal Cautiousness During the Covid-19 Pandemic: a Case Study for Turkey and Italyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.departmentFaculties, Faculty of Science and Literature, Department of Mathematicsen_US
dc.departmentFakülteler, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Matematik Bölümütr_TR
dc.identifier.volume105en_US
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.startpage957en_US
dc.identifier.endpage969en_US
dc.authorid0000-0001-5035-4091-
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000649207200002en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85105921437en_US
dc.institutionauthorGölgeli, Meltem-
dc.identifier.pmid33994665en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11071-021-06320-7-
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1-
item.openairetypeArticle-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextnone-
item.fulltextNo Fulltext-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
crisitem.author.dept07.03. Department of Mathematics-
Appears in Collections:Matematik Bölümü / Department of Mathematics
PubMed İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / PubMed Indexed Publications Collection
Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection
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